EXODUS - Economist predicts new exodus from city

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'MAD AS HELL' FRANK CONAWAY PUSHES FOR TAX REFERENDUM

By Ben Slivnick

Violent crime, lackluster schools and sky-high car insurance rates have long topped the list of reasons many Baltimore-area residents spurn city living.

But Anirban Basu, chief executive of the Baltimore-based economic consulting firm Sage Policy Group Inc., is predicting a new — and unsuspected — flight risk for city residents: a recovering housing market.

“It would seem to be counterintuitive to suggest that with the housing market improving this could be anything but good news for the city of Baltimore,” Basu says, but as contradictory as the argument might seem, its logic is rooted in a fact of city life familiar to anyone paying a mortgage: the property tax.

The logic is simple, Basu argues. A mid-decade city housing boom put city home values on par with surrounding counties -- but the city tax rate, at $2.28 per $100 in assessed value -- is still twice as high as the next cheapest jurisdiction, Baltimore County.

Thus when the stagnated housing market picks up, Basu predicts, a crop of value conscious homebuyers that may have been drawn into the city five to 10 years ago will soon be looking for a way out.

“People are presently searching for value and the city has a difficult time justifying those high property taxes based on the services it provides,” he said. “Unless the city is able to make a credible commitment to reduce its property tax over time, my sense is that a high number of households will choose to make that move out of the city.”

Basu’s analysis comes as Clerk of Circuit Court Frank M. Conaway has led a new charge of his own taking aim at the city’s property tax. More than 70 people attended a rally last week to pressure the City Council to reduce the rate, and Conaway said he expects hundreds for a follow-up event he is planning for later this month.

“I’m mad as hell and I don’t want to take it anymore,” Conaway said. “There’s something not right in this picture.”

If the mayor and council do not take concrete steps to lower the tax, Conaway said he’s prepared to force the issue with a voter referendum.

“Politicians are used to doing things the same-old way and they don't want to change,” Conaway said. “That's the easiest way to balance the budget, but they have to look at this issue in a different light.”

Conaway said he has amassed the money and manpower to collect the 10,000 signatures necessary to get the question on the city’s next ballot, and if voters approve a measure to bring down the property tax, the results would be binding. Conaway said he’s optimistic.

“People are just very, very angry,” he said.

But while Conaway insists the recession has made immediate action necessary, even the slightest decrease in the tax would have major ramifications for the city’s already cash-strapped coffers.

For each penny shaved off the property tax, the city would lose about $3 million in revenue. And with $585 million coming from property taxes this year, it raked in nearly half the city’s general fund.

The tax has been a focus for the city’s past three mayors. A committee commissioned by Mayor Sheila Dixon recommended the city to reduce its property tax by 32 percent — 72 cents — over the next several years, but the mayor’s spokesman Scott Peterson said the recession has stalled those plans.

The committee, known as the Blue Ribbon Committee on Taxes and Fees, laid out 16 recommendations to reduce the tax. So far, Dixon has only taken up one: taxing revenue from gambling.

“Closing the projected $65 million budget deficit took precedent over implementing Blue Ribbon Committee recommendations,” Peterson said. “We are doing what we can in this economy.”

Once the city’s proposed slots casino is finished, it is expected to knock eight cents off the property tax.

Until then, City Councilman Bernard "Jack Young (D-11) agreed that in time when the city is closing recreation centers and pools, the city cannot afford to reduce the tax.

“I agree with lowering the property tax, but I also realize that we rely on the property tax to run the government,” Young said.

Yet if the city doesn’t act soon, Basu said it will be regretting the decision later.

“Now is very easy time not to deal with the property tax given the state of the economy and falling income tax,” Basu said. “However, it’s important for policy makers to remember you can’t tax people who don’t live here.”
 
Comments (6)
property taxes
6 Wednesday, 19 August 2009 19:44
pigtown scott
Thank god people are starting to pay attention! The taxes are insane. Just to put real numbers to how much taxes we pay: If you own at $250,000 house in Baltimore City you pay: $6000 a year in property taxes. If you owned the same house in Baltimore County you would pay $3000. If you own a $500,000 house in Baltimore City you will pay over $12,000 a year in property taxes. The same house in Baltimore County is $6,000. The reason that Baltimore can NEVER make the transition is because as people make more money and buy a bigger house - they are priced out of Baltimore because of taxes.
Reduce Taxes
5 Sunday, 16 August 2009 10:29
Dunn
In a time where the city should be capitalizing on first-time home buyers and people's desire to commute less, be "greener" and rediscover community. The city continues to do the opposite of common sense. I have been involved with this issue for years.... I always get the same response. They know it is important, they would like to increase the tax base, but have no solutions. Even when solutions are presented they dismiss them. It is very upsetting. Thank you Investigative Voice. I feel if more of the local media put pressure on the city to reduce taxes, they would.
Ex-o-dus
4 Saturday, 15 August 2009 11:29
De-La-Warr
I have left and I am glad. It was to much for me here, however born and raised in South Baltimore, I could not take it anymore. I have the peace, serenity, lower taxes, lower home cost, life is simple now,an not confused as it was with chaos in Baltimore. I love Baltimore, but it was time to go. Prices, and lack of City services ran me away. I have trash P/U once a week now, but there is no trash lying around, or pest. I love you Baltimore but I had to go, plain and simple....I had enough
steala dixion needs our tax dollars
3 Thursday, 13 August 2009 10:25
debbie
yes city taxes are way too high & the city services we get are below the standard, ie, one day a week garbage pick up , it has resulted in huge bags of dog poop being left on the streets in front of our homes by the NON TAX paying residents of this city, , & no one to pick it up until the following week! & we must remember our mayor needs cash due to her looming legal woes, so come on Bawlmer tax payers dig deep, as for me I will be amid the exodus if I can get what I owe on this house I am buying here in "da hood", & I don't care if it means a net of ZERO for the city, I am far too jaded to even bother to attempt to fight city hall, & believe the old saying "YOU CAN'T FIGHT CITY HALL"!
I don't follow the logic
2 Wednesday, 12 August 2009 21:16
jon
Property taxes in the city are draconian, which deters new residents, but I don't buy this "exodus" argument. If the housing market recovers and people who want to get out are able to sell, doesn't that mean someone else has to be buying in order for a transaction to occur? You might as well call it an "influx," although it nets to zero. A bigger problem is people at the margins who are unable to afford the high property taxes and end up walking away from or losing their homes. The high taxes also lead to blight because residents' dollars that could be going to improving their homes and neighborhoods is instead going to taxes.

I wish Conaway success but hope a different argument is used.
count me in
1 Wednesday, 12 August 2009 17:45
jackie
let us know time and place. a couple of months ago i called all around looking for an organization who is opposed to high taxes. i was thinking of starting a group to fight the high cost of property taxes while our city officials can own 3 or 4 suv's and take lavish trips and have large expense accounts. Count me in for this meeting please.

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